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GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3Journal for Geographic Information Science
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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400 https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at |
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DATUM, UNTERSCHRIFT / DATE, SIGNATURE
BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALT, WIEN (IBAN AT04 1100 0006 2280 0100, BIC BKAUATWW), DEUTSCHE BANK MÜNCHEN (IBAN DE16 7007 0024 0238 8270 00, BIC DEUTDEDBMUC)
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GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3, pp. 51-60, 2015/06/25
Journal for Geographic Information Science
Geospatial Minds for Society
Geographic research necessitates different types of models that aim at reducing the complexity of reality, enabling us to analyze its representations. Models allow us to infer exploratory and confirmatory findings about causal links between different geographic conditions, different social, political, and economic actors, their behaviors, and land use and its dynamics. However, the spatial, temporal, and attributive nature of data complicates the appropriate model choice for specific research purposes. This conceptual paper keeps track of model construction in the context of land use and land use change. It reveals different issues where particular caution is required, such as spatial and temporal dependency and heterogeneity, scale-dependency, and bidirectional causality. With geographic research being increasingly under the influence of econometric methods, we contend that it is necessary to provide intermediary qualitative layers of evidence between conceptual and, especially, empirical and simulative models of land use and land use change to ensure robust findings about causal relationships between observed variables.