• Adrijana Car – Thomas Jekel – Josef Strobl – Gerald Griesebner (Eds.)

GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3

Journal for Geographic Information Science

Geospatial Minds for Society

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The Journal for Geographic Information Science issue 1-2015 presents peer-reviewed papers presented at the Geoinformatics Forum (www.gi-forum.org), held in Salzburg from July 7-10, 2015. The annual GI_Forum symposium provides a platform for dialogue among geospatial minds in an ongoing effort to support the creation of an informed GISociety.

In this issue, the following topics are addressed:
• GIScience Contributions for Society
• Learning with Geoinformation
• Earth Observation for Humanitarian Operations
• GI for Public Health
• Technical and Human Sensors
• Transportation Modelling
• Environmental GIS and Applications

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at

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GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3

ISSN 2308-1708
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-87907-558-4
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-7826-2
Online Edition



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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2,
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: bestellung.verlag@oeaw.ac.at
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Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Approach for GIS-MCDA Based Economic Vulnerability Assessment

    Bakhtiar Feizizadeh, Stefan Kienberger, Khalil Valizadeh Kamran

GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3, pp. 81-89, 2015/06/26

Journal for Geographic Information Science

Geospatial Minds for Society

doi: 10.1553/giscience2015s81


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doi:10.1553/giscience2015s81


Abstract

This research aims to employ a novel methodology for modelling uncertainty in the GIS environment. The spatially explicit sensitivity and uncertainty analysis was applied on Multicriteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) for an economic vulnerability assessment within the Salzach Basin. The main objective of this research is to demonstrate how a unified approach of uncertainty and sensitivity analysis can be applied to minimize the associated uncertainty within an economic vulnerability assessment. In order to achieve this objective, the following methodology, composed four steps, was applied: (1) computation of criteria weights using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP); (2) Monte Carlo Simulation was applied for computing the uncertainties associated with AHP weights; (3) the Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) was employed in the form of the model-independent method of output variance decomposition, in which the variability of vulnerability maps is apportioned to every criterion weight, generating one first-order (S) and one total-effect (ST) sensitivity index map per criterion weight; and (4) an Ordered Weighted Averaging method was applied for producing vulnerability maps. The results of this research demonstrated the robustness of spatially explicit GSA for minimizing the uncertainty associated with GISMCDA models. According to the achieved results, we conclude that applying the variance based GSA leads to a spatial and statistical assessment of the importance of each input factor on the outcome of the GIS-MCDA method, which allows us to introduce and recommend GIS based GSA as a useful methodology for minimizing uncertainty of GISMCDA.