• Adrijana Car – Thomas Jekel – Josef Strobl – Gerald Griesebner (Eds.)

GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3

Journal for Geographic Information Science

Geospatial Minds for Society

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The Journal for Geographic Information Science issue 1-2015 presents peer-reviewed papers presented at the Geoinformatics Forum (www.gi-forum.org), held in Salzburg from July 7-10, 2015. The annual GI_Forum symposium provides a platform for dialogue among geospatial minds in an ongoing effort to support the creation of an informed GISociety.

In this issue, the following topics are addressed:
• GIScience Contributions for Society
• Learning with Geoinformation
• Earth Observation for Humanitarian Operations
• GI for Public Health
• Technical and Human Sensors
• Transportation Modelling
• Environmental GIS and Applications

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at

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GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3

ISSN 2308-1708
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-87907-558-4
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-7826-2
Online Edition



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Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
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Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: bestellung.verlag@oeaw.ac.at
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A Multi-purpose Weather Forecast Model for the Mondsee Catchment

    Hermann Klug, Liviu Oana

GI_Forum 2015, Volume 3, pp. 600-609, 2015/06/29

Journal for Geographic Information Science

Geospatial Minds for Society

doi: 10.1553/giscience2015s600


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doi:10.1553/giscience2015s600


Abstract

In the course of climate change, extreme weather events and their consequences are likely to increase in the next decades. To enable publicly available predictions preceding an event, we operate an Advanced Research Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF-ARW) limited area model to ensure pro-active mitigation strategies before the start of a storm event. To demonstrate the actual model performance for multiple stakeholders, we compared the prediction with publicly available measurements from nearby stations recorded during the extreme event, starting in the evening of October 22nd, 2014 in the Mondsee catchment. In the beginning, the model prediction highly underestimated the rainfall at most of the weather stations. However, the prediction accuracy increased from 54 to 30 hours in advance to the event. For the Mondsee weather station located inside the catchment, the predictions 30 and 6 hours in advance had an accuracy of -32% and -28%, respectively. However, the prediction was challenged by extremely unstable weather conditions. Nevertheless, the prediction forecasted an event where flooding was a very likely consequence, considering the spatial-temporal amount of rainfall predicted. Thus, an early warning message to responsible stakeholders would have been appropriate for pro-active mitigation action in this case.