GI_Forum 2017, Volume 5, Issue 1 Journal for Geographic Information Science
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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400 https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at |
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DATUM, UNTERSCHRIFT / DATE, SIGNATURE
BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALT, WIEN (IBAN AT04 1100 0006 2280 0100, BIC BKAUATWW), DEUTSCHE BANK MÜNCHEN (IBAN DE16 7007 0024 0238 8270 00, BIC DEUTDEDBMUC)
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GI_Forum 2017, Volume 5, Issue 1 Journal for Geographic Information Science
ISSN 2308-1708 Online Edition ISBN 978-3-7001-8158-3 Online Edition
Guillaume Rohat,
Johannes Flacke,
Hy Dao
S. 341 - 351 doi:10.1553/giscience2017_01_s341 Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften doi:10.1553/giscience2017_01_s341
Abstract: The overwhelming majority of integrated assessments of future climate risks are made using climate scenarios and projections superimposed on current socio-economic conditions only; hence they fail to account for the influence of socio-economic changes. Following the recent IPCC-related new scenarios framework for climate change research, a few assessments of climate risks have attempted to integrate socio-economic changes through the combination of climate and socio-economic scenarios. However, a number of shortcomings remain, such as the lack of consideration of vulnerability, the low spatial resolution, and the lack of contextual focus. In this paper, we seek to examine these shortcomings through an exploratory assessment of future heat stress risk in 271 European regions up to 2030, based on the combination of several climate and socio-economic scenarios. We also discuss the main barriers faced – such as the limited number of socioeconomic projections carried out to date and the diversity of existing socio-economic scenarios – and provide a reflection on promising approaches to foster the use of socio-economic projections and scenarios within integrated assessments of future climate risks. Keywords: heat stress risk, scenarios, vulnerability,iIntegrated assessment, Europe Published Online: 2017/06/30 12:19:10 Object Identifier: 0xc1aa5576 0x00369db3 Rights:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/4.0/
GI_Forum publishes high quality original research across the transdisciplinary field of Geographic Information Science (GIScience). The journal provides a platform for dialogue among GI-Scientists and educators, technologists and critical thinkers in an ongoing effort to advance the field and ultimately contribute to the creation of an informed GISociety. Submissions concentrate on innovation in education, science, methodology and technologies in the spatial domain and their role towards a more just, ethical and sustainable science and society. GI_Forum implements the policy of open access publication after a double-blind peer review process through a highly international team of seasoned scientists for quality assurance. Special emphasis is put on actively supporting young scientists through formative reviews of their submissions. Only English language contributions are published.
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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400 https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at |