Electronic Publication/s

How to Forecast Economic Developments During and After Crises

Denkschriften der philosophisch-historischen Klasse 429. Band

How to Forecast Economic Developments During and After Crises

Details

ISBN-13978-3-7001-7089-1
ISBN-13 Online978-3-7001-7277-2
Subject Area
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Erich W. Streissler, Gunther Tichy

Preliminaries

1

Erich W. Streissler, Gunther Tichy

Contents

5

Erich W. Streissler, Gunther Tichy

Preface

7

Erich W. Streissler, Gunther Tichy

Previous Publications

8

Gunther Tichy

Could we have foreseen the financial crisis?

9

Gunther Tichy

Why did policy ignore the harbingers of the crisis?

29

Gunther Tichy

Regulation of the banking sector: Could stricter regulation of the banking business help avoid a major financial crisis?

48

Erich W. Streissler

Saving and Investment in the Long Run

63

Erich W. Streissler

Using Economic Theory for Forecasting

71

Erich W. Streissler

“i.i.d.”? or: On So-called Precise Statements in Economics

75

Erich W. Streissler

The Financial Market Crisis

91

Erich W. Streissler, Christoph Streissler

Rare Events: Varying Asset Price Variances

100

Erich W. Streissler

Waiting for Financial Consolidation

107

Erich W. Streissler

Forecasting World Trends During the 2010s

117