Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)


Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018

Broadening demographic horizons

ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-8
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8436-2
Online Edition
doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2018
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 
2018 
Open access


Introduction

Broadening Demographic Horizons: Demographic Studies Beyond Age and Gender
Alexia Prskawetz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov

Demographic Debate

Are there principles of demography? A search for unifying (and hegemonic) Themes
William P. Butz

Can Taylor's law of fluctuation scaling and its relatives help select more plausible multi-regional population forecasts?
Joel E. Cohen, Helge Brunborg, Meng Xu

Probabilistic demographic forecasts
Nico Keilman

Education and demography: a review of world population and human capital in the 21st century
Philip Rees

Research Articles

Population dynamics and human capital in Muslim countries
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Gavin W. Jones

Survival inequalities and redistribution in the Italian pension system
Graziella Caselli, Rosa Maria Lipsi

Does education matter? – economic dependency ratios by education
Alexia Prskawetz, Bernhard Hammer

Multistate projections of Australia’s Indigenous population: interacting area group and identification status change
James Raymer, Yanlin Shi, James O'Donnell, Nicholas Biddle

The end of population ageing in the more developed world
Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Patrick Gerland

From intentions to births: paths of realization in a multi-dimensional life course
Maria Rita Testa, Francesco Rampazzo

Towards causal forecasting of international migration
Frans Willekens

Data and Trends

Summary of Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries
Nicholas Gailey, Wolfgang Lutz

"Express transitioning" as a special case of the demographic transition
Marc Luy, Bernhard Köppen

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3402-3406, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-8
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8436-2
Online Edition



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doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2018s037


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Thema: journals
Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)


Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018

Broadening demographic horizons

ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-8
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8436-2
Online Edition
doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2018
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 
2018 
Open access


Philip Rees
S.  037 - 053
doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2018s037

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften


doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2018s037
Abstract:
This discussion piece is an extended review of the work on projecting the world’s population and human capital by country conducted by the Wittgenstein Centre (WIC). The project was led by Wolfgang Lutz, and its outcomes were published by Oxford University Press in a book that appeared in 2014. Using statistics from the book and elsewhere, this article starts with an overview of the development of educational attainment. The role that education plays in the WIC2014 model is identified. Definitions of ‘multi-dimensional’, ‘multi-state’, and ‘micro-simulation’ are offered, and are used to characterise the model. A thumbnail sketch of the main methods used in the projections is given. The final section sets out a possible agenda for the future development of the WIC2014 model. This review is intended to help readers tackle the more than 1,000 pages of argument and analysis in the book, which represents a major contribution to demographic research in the 21st century.

Published Online:  2019/03/18 08:05:22
Object Identifier:  0xc1aa5576 0x003a4fbd

Introduction

Broadening Demographic Horizons: Demographic Studies Beyond Age and Gender
Alexia Prskawetz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov

Demographic Debate

Are there principles of demography? A search for unifying (and hegemonic) Themes
William P. Butz

Can Taylor's law of fluctuation scaling and its relatives help select more plausible multi-regional population forecasts?
Joel E. Cohen, Helge Brunborg, Meng Xu

Probabilistic demographic forecasts
Nico Keilman

Education and demography: a review of world population and human capital in the 21st century
Philip Rees

Research Articles

Population dynamics and human capital in Muslim countries
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Gavin W. Jones

Survival inequalities and redistribution in the Italian pension system
Graziella Caselli, Rosa Maria Lipsi

Does education matter? – economic dependency ratios by education
Alexia Prskawetz, Bernhard Hammer

Multistate projections of Australia’s Indigenous population: interacting area group and identification status change
James Raymer, Yanlin Shi, James O'Donnell, Nicholas Biddle

The end of population ageing in the more developed world
Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Patrick Gerland

From intentions to births: paths of realization in a multi-dimensional life course
Maria Rita Testa, Francesco Rampazzo

Towards causal forecasting of international migration
Frans Willekens

Data and Trends

Summary of Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries
Nicholas Gailey, Wolfgang Lutz

"Express transitioning" as a special case of the demographic transition
Marc Luy, Bernhard Köppen



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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3402-3406, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at