 |
 |
Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023
The causes and consequences of depopulation
 Olga Gagauz,
Tatiana Tabac,
Irina Pahomii
S. 419
Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften doi: 10.1553/p-ke2z-76zz
Abstract:
In Moldova, there has been a long-term decline in the population, mainly due to high levels of emigration. The article presents an analysis of population dynamics in Moldova over the last three decades, and estimates the contributions of fertility, mortality and migration to this process. Using population censuses, data on the population with usual residence, vital statistics and data on Moldovan immigrants from the host countries’ statistical institutes,we estimate population changes between 1991–2021, and present demographic projections up to 2040. The results show that migration outflows account for more than 90% of the depopulation trend, with high levels of premature mortality accelerating the natural decline. The fall in births is associated with a decrease in the reproductive-age population. The total fertility rate has been decreasing gradually, while the cohort fertility rates have not fallen below 1.75 live births per woman. Past migration and low fertility are projected to result in long-term population decline. Demographic ageing is expected to increase. While population decline cannot be stopped, its scale can be limited through reductions in emigration and mortality. This study on population decline in Moldova helps to complete the demographic picture of Europe in the 20th century and into the 21st century.
depopulation; fertility; mortality; migration; demographic projection; Moldova Published Online:
2023/03/30 06:50:27 Object Identifier:
0xc1aa5572 0x003e2751
Rights:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Introduction
Population decline: Towards a rational, scientific research agenda
Zuzanna Brzozowska, Ekaterina Zhelenkova and Stuart Gietel-Basten
Debate
Like high cholesterol, population decline is a problem, but not in the way you might think...
Wendy Sigle
The human eco-predicament: Overshoot and the population conundrum
William E. Rees
Population decline will likely become a global trend and benefit long-term human wellbeing
Wolfgang Lutz
Depopulation or population decline? Demographic nightmares and imaginaries
Stuart Gietel-Basten
A governance perspective on East Central Europe’s population predicament: Young exit, grey voice and lopsided loyalty
Pieter Vanhuysse
Low, but not too low, fertility can represent a positive development
Vegard Skirbekk
The key role of early education in an ageing and shrinking population: The example of Germany
Elke Loichinger - C. Katharina Spiess
Perspectives
Implementing youth-oriented policies: A remedy for depopulation in rural regions?
Martina Schorn
Review Articles
Revisiting the impact of urban shrinkage on residential segregation in European cities
David Huntington
Research Articles
Immigration and the prospects for long-run population decreases in European countries
Nick Parr
How much would reduced emigration mitigate ageing in Norway?
Marianne Tønnessen - Astri Syse
The triple burden of depopulation in Ukraine: examining perceptions of population decline
Brienna Perelli-Harris - Yuliya Hilevych
Is Spanish depopulation irreversible? Recent demographic and spatial changes in small municipalities
Fernando Gil-Alonso - Jordi Bayona-i-Carrasco - Isabel Pujadas-Rúbies
Neighbourhood effects and determinants of population changes in Italy: A spatial perspective
Federico Benassi - Annalisa Busetta - Gerardo Gallo - Manuela Stranges
Demographic sustainability in Italian territories: The link between depopulation and population ageing
Cecilia Reynaud - Sara Miccoli
Parsimonious stochastic forecasting of international and internal migration on the NUTS-3 level – an outlook of regional depopulation trends in Germany
Patrizio Vanella - Timon Hellwagner - Philipp Deschermeier
Data and Trends
Depopulation in Moldova: The main challenge in the context of extremly high emigration
Olga Gagauz - Tatiana Tabac - Irina Pahomii
|
Home
Order
Print
References
Share
