• Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015

Special issue on Demographic differential vulnerability to climate-related disasters

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Refereed Articles

Differential mortality from extreme climate events

Differential mortality patterns from hydro-meteorological disasters: Evidence from cause-of-death data by age and sex (Emilio Zagheni, Raya Muttarak, Erich Striessnig)

Daily mortality changes in Taiwan in the 1970s: An examination of the relationship between temperature and mortality (Zhongwei Zhao, Yuan Zhu and Edward Jow-Ching Tu)

Spatial patterns of social vulnerability to weather and climate extremes

Assessing the effectiveness of a social vulnerability index in predicting heterogeneity in the impacts of natural hazards: Case study of the Tropical Storm Washi flood in the Philippines (J. Andres F. Ignacio, Grace T. Cruz, Fernando Nardi and Sabine Henry)

Social vulnerability to floods in two coastal megacities: New York City and Mumbai (Alex de Sherbinin and Guillem Bardy)

Who perceives what? A demographic analysis of subjective perception in rural Thailand (Jacqueline Meijer-Irons)

Who is concerned about and takes action on climate change? Gender and education divides among Thais (Raya Muttarak and Thanyaporn Chankrajang)

Forecasting future societies vulnerability and adaptive capacity through the lens of human capital

Future differential vulnerability to natural disasters by level of education (Erich Striessnig and Elke Loichinger)

The demography of human development and climate change vulnerability: A projection exercise (Jesus Crespo Cuaresma and Wolfgang Lutz)

A four-dimensional population module for the analysis of future adaptive capacity in the Phang Nga province of Thailand (Elke Loichinger, Samir KC and Wolfgang Lutz)

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8007-4
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8041-8
Online Edition



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Future differential vulnerability to natural disasters by level of education

    Erich Striessnig, Elke Loichinger

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015, pp. 221-240, 2024/12/12

Special issue on Demographic differential vulnerability to climate-related disasters

doi: 10.1553/populationyearbook2015s221


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doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2015s221

Abstract

The present paper looks at the implications of anticipated changes in population size and composition for the projected number of deaths from natural disasters Building on empirical evidence from cross-country time series of factors associated with natural disaster fatalities since 1970 in 174 countries, the paper first highlights the major role of education in enabling people to cope with weather extremes in the past. Using the five demographic scenarios implied by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), which include trajectories for the future of educational expansion, this evidence is translated in the second part of the paper into projections of the number of deaths from climate-related extreme natural events for six major world regions. Assuming constant hazard, we demonstrate the importance of including in assessments of future vulnerability not only the projected population size but the full population heterogeneity by age, sex and level of education.

Keywords: Demography; Environment; Climate Change; Natural Disaster; Thailand

Published Online: 2024/12/12 23:16:24

Object Identifier: 0xc1aa5572 0x003fad4a

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