• Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015

Special issue on Demographic differential vulnerability to climate-related disasters

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Refereed Articles

Differential mortality from extreme climate events

Differential mortality patterns from hydro-meteorological disasters: Evidence from cause-of-death data by age and sex (Emilio Zagheni, Raya Muttarak, Erich Striessnig)

Daily mortality changes in Taiwan in the 1970s: An examination of the relationship between temperature and mortality (Zhongwei Zhao, Yuan Zhu and Edward Jow-Ching Tu)

Spatial patterns of social vulnerability to weather and climate extremes

Assessing the effectiveness of a social vulnerability index in predicting heterogeneity in the impacts of natural hazards: Case study of the Tropical Storm Washi flood in the Philippines (J. Andres F. Ignacio, Grace T. Cruz, Fernando Nardi and Sabine Henry)

Social vulnerability to floods in two coastal megacities: New York City and Mumbai (Alex de Sherbinin and Guillem Bardy)

Who perceives what? A demographic analysis of subjective perception in rural Thailand (Jacqueline Meijer-Irons)

Who is concerned about and takes action on climate change? Gender and education divides among Thais (Raya Muttarak and Thanyaporn Chankrajang)

Forecasting future societies vulnerability and adaptive capacity through the lens of human capital

Future differential vulnerability to natural disasters by level of education (Erich Striessnig and Elke Loichinger)

The demography of human development and climate change vulnerability: A projection exercise (Jesus Crespo Cuaresma and Wolfgang Lutz)

A four-dimensional population module for the analysis of future adaptive capacity in the Phang Nga province of Thailand (Elke Loichinger, Samir KC and Wolfgang Lutz)

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8007-4
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8041-8
Online Edition



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The demography of human development and climate change vulnerability: A projection exercise

    Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, Wolfgang Lutz

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2015, pp. 241-262, 2024/12/12

Special issue on Demographic differential vulnerability to climate-related disasters

doi: 10.1553/populationyearbook2015s241


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doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2015s241

Abstract

We propose a methodological framework aimed at obtaining projections of the Human Development Index (HDI) that can be used to assess the degree of vulnerability of future societies to extreme climatic events. By combining recent developments in the modeling and projection of population by age, sex, and educational attainment, our modeling set-up ensures that the different components of the HDI are projected using a self-contained, consistent modeling effort. We develop scenarios that correspond to the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) developed in the context of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and thus present a projection framework that can be used to expand the evaluation of the potential mitigation and adaptation challenges associated with climate change in general, and with vulnerability to natural disasters in particular.

Keywords: Demography; Environment; Climate Change

Published Online: 2024/12/12 23:16:25

Object Identifier: 0xc1aa5572 0x003fad4c

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