• Wolfgang Lutz - Gustav Feichtinger (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2005

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Contents:
Will Population Ageing Decrease Productivity? Symposium on Population Ageing and Economic Productivity, December 2-4, 2004, Vienna Institute of Demography; Alexia Prskawetz: Background and Summary of Discussion; Vegard Skirbekk: Productivity Decreases with Age; Thomas Lindh: Productivity is a System Property and Need Not Decrease with the Age of Workforce;
M. N. Bhrolcháin and L. Toulemon: Does Postponement Explain the Trend to Later Childbearing in France?; C. Bühler and D. Philipov: Social Capital Related to Fertility: Theoretical Foundations and Empirical Evidence for Bulgaria; Tomás Sobotka, Maria Winkler-Dworak, Maria Rita Testa, Wolfgang Lutz, Dimiter Philipov, Henriette Engelhardt, and Richard Gisser: Monthly Estimates of the Quantum of Fertility: Towards a Fertility Monitoring System in Austria; A. Prskawetz and B. Zagaglia: Second Births in Austria; Martin Spielauer: Concentration of Reproduction in Austria: General Trends and Differentials by Educational Attainment and Urban-Rural Setting; F. Trovato: Narrowing Sec Differential in Life Expectancy in Canada and Austria: Comparative analysis; R. Kronberger: Welche Bedeutung hat eine alternde Bevölkerung für das österreichische Steueraufkommen?; W. Lutz and S. Scherbov: Will Population Ageing Necessarily Lead to an Increase in the Number of Persons with Disabilities?; Recent Demographic Trends in Austria (R. Gisser); Fertility in Austria: An Overview (T. Sobotka)

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2005


ISBN 978-3-7001-3576-0
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ISBN 978-3-7001-3655-2
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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2,
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: bestellung.verlag@oeaw.ac.at
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Monthly Estimates of the Quantum of Fertility: Towards a Fertility Monitoring System in Austria

    Henriette Engelhardt, Richard Gisser, Wolfgang Lutz, Dimiter Philipov, Tomás Sobotka, Maria Rita Testa, Maria Winkler-Dworak

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2005, pp. 109-141, 2024/12/12

doi: 10.1553/populationyearbook2005s109


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doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2005



doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2005s109

Abstract

Short-term variations in fertility and seasonal patterns of childbearing have been of interest to demographers for a long time. Presenting our detailed study of period fertility in Austria since 1984, we discuss the problems and advantages of constructing and analysing monthly series of various period fertility indicators that reflect real exposure and potentially minimise the distortions caused by changes in fertility timing. We correct monthly birth data for calendar and seasonal factors and show that seasonality of births in Austria varies by birth order. Our study suggests that most of the timing distortions can be eliminated when using an indicator derived from the period parity progression ratios based on birth interval distributions, termed the “period average parity” (PAP). We illustrate the insights gained with the PAP and compare this with the commonly used total fertility rates in an analysis of the recent upswing in period fertility, starting in the late 2001. This investigation will be useful in establishing a monitoring of monthly fertility rates in Austria.