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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2026Special issue: Delayed reproduction
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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400 https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at |
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DATUM, UNTERSCHRIFT / DATE, SIGNATURE
BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALT, WIEN (IBAN AT04 1100 0006 2280 0100, BIC BKAUATWW), DEUTSCHE BANK MÜNCHEN (IBAN DE16 7007 0024 0238 8270 00, BIC DEUTDEDBMUC)
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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2026, pp. 1-28, 2026/06/03
Special issue: Delayed reproduction
The risks of infertility and pregnancy loss have been growing as women’s ages at birth have been increasing. This raises the question of how such adverse reproductive experiences (ARE) are associated with birth outcomes. We propose an analytical framework to re-integrate infertility, miscarriage and abortion into the demographic study of fertility. It reconnects to the classic framework on the proximate fertility determinants by Davis and Blake and Bongaarts, and it draws on the rather recent approach of reproductive careers proposed by Johnson et al. We use a subsample of 1862 female respondents of the German family panel pairfam who participated in 11 consecutive waves, covering the calendar period from 2008 to 2020. We follow three birth cohorts through 10 years of their reproductive ages. Women aged 35 plus years have the highest probability of having multiple ARE, but no births. They also have the lowest risk of having a birth and no adverse experiences. The results suggest that integrating ARE into the analysis of birth behaviour may help to explain age patterns in fertility and the association between desired and realised fertility.
Keywords: Pregnancy loss • Miscarriage • Abortion • Infertility • Proximate fertility determinants • Reproductive careers