Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023

Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023

The causes and consequences of depopulation

ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9258-9
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9259-6
Online Edition

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023
2023, 443 Seiten, zahlr. Tabellen und Farbabbildungen, 24x17cm, broschiert, englisch,
€ 70,00
Open access

Introduction

Population decline: Towards a rational, scientific research agenda
Zuzanna Brzozowska, Ekaterina Zhelenkova and Stuart Gietel-Basten

Debate

Like high cholesterol, population decline is a problem, but not in the way you might think...
Wendy Sigle

The human eco-predicament: Overshoot and the population conundrum
William E. Rees

Population decline will likely become a global trend and benefit long-term human wellbeing
Wolfgang Lutz

Depopulation or population decline? Demographic nightmares and imaginaries
Stuart Gietel-Basten

A governance perspective on East Central Europe’s population predicament: Young exit, grey voice and lopsided loyalty
Pieter Vanhuysse

Low, but not too low, fertility can represent a positive development
Vegard Skirbekk

The key role of early education in an ageing and shrinking population: The example of Germany
Elke Loichinger - C. Katharina Spiess

Perspectives

Implementing youth-oriented policies: A remedy for depopulation in rural regions?
Martina Schorn

Review Articles

Revisiting the impact of urban shrinkage on residential segregation in European cities
David Huntington

Research Articles

Immigration and the prospects for long-run population decreases in European countries
Nick Parr

How much would reduced emigration mitigate ageing in Norway?
Marianne Tønnessen - Astri Syse

The triple burden of depopulation in Ukraine: examining perceptions of population decline
Brienna Perelli-Harris - Yuliya Hilevych

Is Spanish depopulation irreversible? Recent demographic and spatial changes in small municipalities
Fernando Gil-Alonso - Jordi Bayona-i-Carrasco - Isabel Pujadas-Rúbies

Neighbourhood effects and determinants of population changes in Italy: A spatial perspective
Federico Benassi - Annalisa Busetta - Gerardo Gallo - Manuela Stranges

Demographic sustainability in Italian territories: The link between depopulation and population ageing
Cecilia Reynaud - Sara Miccoli

Parsimonious stochastic forecasting of international and internal migration on the NUTS-3 level – an outlook of regional depopulation trends in Germany
Patrizio Vanella - Timon Hellwagner - Philipp Deschermeier

Data and Trends

Depopulation in Moldova: The main challenge in the context of extremly high emigration
Olga Gagauz - Tatiana Tabac - Irina Pahomii

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press

A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9258-9
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9259-6
Online Edition

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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press

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doi:10.1553/p-8jf5-7cdc

Online Edition

Table of Contents

Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023

The causes and consequences of depopulation

ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9258-9
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9259-6
Online Edition

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023
2023, 443 Seiten, zahlr. Tabellen und Farbabbildungen, 24x17cm, broschiert, englisch,
€ 70,00
Open access

Order Print Edition

Order eBook

Nick Parr

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7539-912X

Immigration and the prospects for long-run population decreases in European countries ()

S. 181

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften

doi:10.1553/p-8jf5-7cdc

Abstract:
Between 2009 and 2018, the total fertility rate fell in most European countries. In 2018, fertility was below the replacement level throughout Europe. Net migration was positive for two-thirds of European countries. This paper illustrates the implications for long-run population growth of observed net migration-fertilitymortality combinations in 20 European countries over the 2009–18 period by comparing the observed net migration to a zero population growth-related ‘replacement level’ for net migration. The results show that in several northern and north-western European countries, the net migration level has been consistently above this replacement level: if the net migration level and fertility and mortality rates remain constant, the population would increase. However, the findings also indicate that in all of the eastern European countries covered, the net migration level has been consistently below the net migration replacement level. The results further show that in Finland, Norway and Switzerland, the long-run implications of having constant fertility-mortality-net migration levels change from leading to population growth to leading to population decline. The opposite pattern is observed in Germany. The feasibility of preventing long-run population decreases through changes in net migration levels is discussed in light of the results.

Keywords: migration; population decrease; population growth; fertility; population model; Europe
Published Online: 2022/08/16 06:20:44
Object Identifier: 0xc1aa5576 0x003da1b9
Rights:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press

A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at