• Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2007

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Contents:
Introduction by Commissioner Vladimír Špidla to the four essays written in response to the communication on The Demographic Future of Europe; David A. COLEMAN: Demographic diversity and the ethnic consequences of immigration – key issues that the Commission's report left out; Jonathan GRANT and Stijn HOORENS: Does the Commission's report adequately address the key issues of the demographic future of Europe?; Wolfgang LUTZ: Adaptation versus mitigation policies on demographic change in Europe; Paul DEMENY: A clouded view of Europe's demographic future; Wolfgang LUTZ, Sergei SCHERBOV, Gui Ying CAO, Qiang REN and Xiaoying ZHENG: China's uncertain demographic present and future; Jeroen SPIJKER, Frans VAN POPPEL, Leo VAN WISSEN: Explaining new trends in the gender gap of mortality: Insights from a regional trend-analysis from the Netherlands; Franz SCHWARZ: Widening educational disparities in all-cause mortality: An analysis of Austrian data with international comparisons; Gustav FEICHTINGER, Maria WINKLER-DWORAK, Inga FREUND, Alexia PRSKAWETZ and Fernando RIOSMENA: On the age dynamics of learned societies – taking example of the Austrian Academy of Sciences; Dominik GRAFENHOFER, Christian JAAG, Christian KEUSCHNIGG and Mirela KEUSCHNIGG: Economic aging and demographic change; Diana HUMMEL and Alexandra LUX: Population decline and infrastructure: The case of the German water supply system; Wolfgang LUTZ, Anne GOUJON, Samir K.C. and Warren SANDERSON: Reconstruction of population by age, sex and level of educational attainment of 120 countries for 1970–2000; Anne GOUJON, Vegard SKIRBEKK, Katrin FLIEGENSCHNEE and Pavel STRZELECKI: New times, old believes: projecting the future size of religion in Austria; Dimiter PHILIPOV and Caroline BERGHAMMER: Religion and fertility ideals, intentions and behaviour: a comparative study of European countries; Isabella BUBER: Ageing in Austria: An overview of "Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe" (SHARE) with special focus on aspects of health; Dalkhat EDIEV and Richard GISSER: Reconstruction of the historical series of life tables and of age-sex structures for the Austrian population in 19th-first half of 20th centuries; Maria Rita TESTA: Childbearing preferences and family issues in Europe: evidence from the Eurobarometer 2006 survey

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2007
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-4015-2
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-6073-1
Online Edition



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Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2,
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: bestellung.verlag@oeaw.ac.at
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New times, old beliefs: Projecting the future size of religions in Austria

    Anne Goujon

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2007, pp. 237-270, 2000/12/09

doi: 10.1553/populationyearbook2007s237


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doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2007



doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2007s237

Abstract

The relative sizes of secular and religious populations belong to the most important social characteristics of each country. In the wake of religious change, family behaviour, including marriage and childbearing, is likely to be altered. European demographic trends, including those of late childbearing and low fertility are also likely to change when there is a growth of religious groups where conversion/secularisation rates are low and childbearing levels are high. We project the membership size of the various religious groupings until 2051 for Austria, a country where the religion question is included in the census, allowing detailed and accurate projections to be made. We consider relative fertility rates, religion-specific emigration and immigration, conversion rates and intergenerational transmission of religious affiliation. Our estimates suggest that the Catholic proportion will decrease from 75% in 2001 to less than 50% in 2051. The Muslim population, which grew from 1% in 1981 to 4% in 2001, will represent 14% to 18% of the Austrian population by 2051, and could represent up to 32% of those below 15 years of age. The Protestants’ population share will be stable at around 4%, while up to 34% of the population will be without religion.

Published Online: 2000/12/09 23:00:00

Object Identifier: 0xc1aa5572 0x003fae66

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